Budget proposals

Organizations spend a large amount of time and resources in preparing their budgets. Much of that work is repetitive low-value-added effort, such as gathering the data that's used in the budgeting process. Additional work is needed to prepare a line-by-line budget by department.

Budget proposals provide the following benefits:

• Makes it easy to gather historical data from actuals or budget to be used for budgeting within Dynamics 365 Finance.
• Lets you make revisions to the budget using different timeframes or combinations of budget and historical actuals.
• Generates a new budget that can be further refined and iterated on with the high-value attention to apply knowledge and insights that may not be present in historical data.
• Provides the budget proposal output as a budget register document, which is easy to modify, import, export, and use for standard reporting throughout Dynamics 365 Finance.

Importing sufficient data for a good prediction

The quality of the predictions depends on having sufficient cleansed data that are consistent for several years. In some cases, three years of consistent data are sufficient, but often five to 10 years is best. If 10 years of historical data do not exist in the system today, consider cleansing previous historical data that may not exist in the system, and uploading that as a historical budget.

The term cleansing data refers to ensuring that the data is consistent in terms of accounts and financial dimensions when a reorganization has happened, or importing legacy data generated before a change in the chart of accounts or financial dimensions.

Budget proposals setup

Complete the following steps to set up the Budget proposals feature.

1. After enabling a feature, a new menu item named Budget Proposal under Budgeting > Setup > Basic budgeting will be accessible for users with the Finance Insights Administrator role. The setting of the Enable feature field must be changed from No to Yes. No predictions will be generated until the feature is enabled.

Example - Generating a budget proposal

Budget proposals must go through the following steps to prepare the proposed budget as a draft budget register document:

• Create a budget proposal under Budgeting > Periodic > Generate budget proposal as a user with the Budget Manager role.
• A date range is provided for the beginning and end of data to be used for the prediction.
• A selection of actual, budget, or both actual and budget data is made.
• Individual attributes can be added to refine what data is generated to limit to specific account types for actuals.
• Individual filters are added to refine which specific budget models and codes should be used determine the budget data to be used.
  Note that the overall date filters selected include the following:
  • Output criteria for what budget model and budget code should be used for the output.
  • The input criteria generates the raw input data and is aggregated to be in monthly data sets by dimension combination for the current set of budget dimensions, as defined under Budgeting > Setup > Basic budgeting > Dimensions for budgeting.
  • The input data is sent to AI Builder to apply the machine learning for generating predictions.
  • AI Builder returns the prediction data to Dynamics 365 Finance.
  • You can then complete the process and generate the predictions as a draft budget register entry.
  • The draft budget can be viewed and modified within budget register entries, or within one of the reporting options that are available.

The dates selected for output are generated by the system based on 12 months of predictions after the end date of the input. Consider the following example.

Input start date	Input end date	Out start	Out end
Jan 1 2017	Dec 31 2019	Jan 1 2020	Dec 31 2020
Jul 1 2014	Jun 30 2018	Jul 1 2018	Jun 30 2019

The budget models entered are checked against the dates to determine which budget register entries should be used and have individual budget lines included. Consider the following examples.

Input start date	Input end date	Budget model	Budget lines	Included
Jan 1 2017	Dec 31 2019	FY2017	Jun 302017	x
Jan 1 2017	Dec 31 2019	FY2018	Jun 30 2018	x
Jan 1 2017	Dec 31 2019	Annual	Jun 30 2017	x
Jan 1 2017	Dec 31 2019	Annual	Jun 30 2016

Proving out, refining, and trusting the machine learning productions

The Budget proposals feature uses historical data, as well as your input, to build a machine learning model. The following points offer guidance that can help optimize a model’s results, and guide your use of the data.

• Machine learning models work best when they analyze a consistent data set over time. As noted above, it’s optimal to have 10 years of data that uses the same chart of accounts and dimensions. Models that use more data are likely to be more effective than models that use less.
• Models use historical data and sophisticated math to suggest a reasonably likely outcome. The proposals that are generated can help you create more effective budgets with less work. However, generating the best possible budget occurs when your managers are engaged and participate in refining the budget proposals that are generated.
• Some activity is easier to predict accurately than others. For example, the activity of some payroll and expense accounts might be more regular, and therefore be easier to predict than accounts that track more volatile activity.
• The results should be compared against actuals using the standard actual versus budget reporting, as well as the actual versus budget financial reporting report, with monthly columns added to display detailed variance amounts and variance percentage analysis.
• You can generate predictions for historical activity and begin evaluating the predictions by comparing what the predictions would have been for the current year, against activity from the current year.

Proving out with actuals versus budget inquiry

The actuals versus budget inquiry can be used to have a line-by-line view of actuals versus the budget proposal. In Inquiry parameters, set the start date and end date and your output budget model. Also set the Budget register entry status to Draft.

A yearly view that includes the actual amount, budget amount, variance amount, and percentage used is available in the results. This page can then open the Period balance page where you can review any account on a period-by-period basis for deeper evaluation showing variance amount.

Proving out with financial reporting

You can use the Actual vs Budget - Default financial report to see summary and detailed views of actuals versus the budget proposal. The default report design includes a single yearly view for original budget, revised budget, actuals, variance amount, variance percent, and percent of budget. The report can be easily updated to include 12 monthly columns with corresponding values, rather than a single amount with variances. You can set the budget proposal budget model by selecting Report Options and then selecting the budget model from the Scenarios drop-down menu. This will refresh the report to the correct budget model.

When a 12-month financial report is exported to Excel, you can easily insert a line chart or sparkline to provide a graphical view of the input or output data that helps reveal trends in the data.