@Mikael Syska With default outbound access, Azure makes no guarantee that the source IP address will come from any particular range narrower than AzureCloud, nor that it will stay unchanged for any period of time: https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/virtual-network/ip-services/default-outbound-access#how-is-default-outbound-access-provided
Unfortunately, default outbound access is the only supported outbound mechanism for SQL MI, at least until support for NAT gateways rolls out.
Have you considered Azure Firewall Basic? It is less expensive than Standard, also supports outbound sNAT, and if multiple SQL MIs are in its virtual network, will handle outbound traffic for all of those.
Regards
Geetha