No, I have never re-installed Windows 7 Professional. The PC came with Windows pre-installed. And, no, the system has never been inactivated. It has been in almost continuous use and always ran Windows Update automatically, always installing the recommended updates. That is, until Microsoft ending support for Windows 7. I can think of nothing out of the ordinary that could have caused this. It just started about a week ago. The computer was not turned off, it was only "asleep." One morning when I started it up, the pop-up appeared first thing - almost as if it had been there all along. This happens all the time now, not only when I start up the computer but also sometimes when I'm using the computer and also times when the computer is just sitting idle.
This is the pop-up window: